2007年度《聚烯烃规划服务》(POPS)简介

            -- 20073月到20082

  

            1. 概况

            2. 使用价值

            3. 涉及的范围

            4. 报告种类和服务

            5. 订费和订阅

            6. 联络信息

            附件

            目录举例:执行总结——全球商务分析

  

1.概况

 

1990年代首次出版以来,ChemSystems《聚烯烃规划服务》(POPS)项目,一直为全球聚乙烯和聚丙烯行业提供最详细、准确和有见地的分析。

从事聚烯烃行业的人士普遍把POPS报告服务看作是一个聚烯烃行业详尽分析与预测项目。通过年度总结报告、季度业务更新报告、每年三个专题报告和三年一次的技术分析报告,该项目提供对行业的全面商业分析。

莱森特的聚烯烃顾问根据详细的研究和对全球所有地区的现场调研实施本项目的分析。使用莱森特ChemSystems模拟器-全球化工行业最先进的模拟模型进行预测,从而保证了聚烯烃预测与烯烃预测和竞争性通用塑料预测相匹配相关联。也可以订阅使用ChemSystms模拟器由订户进行私密性假设和预测。

聚烯烃行业的主要问题:

     聚烯烃行业目前正在经历良好的财务业绩时期。产生这种健康环境的主要因素是缺乏新产能和良好的需求增长。从短期看,这种商业环境预计会保持,照此下去,2007年应该是该行业一个很好的盈利年。从目前看,如果需求保持健康,前述优势仍有潜力,2008年也是一个高开工率的年份,但新项目会推迟。

2009年及以后,预计该行业会进入比较困难时期。到时会有大量的新能力投产,其中多数位于中东和中国。尽管预计在某些国家新能力建设会推迟,但其他一些国家会继续创造及时供货的纪录。因此,在本投资周期,正如在石化行业经常可以看到的,从2009年开始可能导致非常强有力的供应,如果这种供应增长与需求增展放慢同时发生,那么该行业的利润会再一次下滑到低点。

考虑到许多新能力的地理位置,全球的贸易方式肯定要变化。对西欧和北美而言,这两个地区一般来说会走向更高的进口位置(图 1),预计会出现某些对贸易更加不可思议的影响。

图1下一个周期

 

    下面扼要介绍几个聚烯烃行业面临的重要问题:

      ■ 高油气价格对烯烃和聚烯烃行业需求增长(如经济增长)和新能力(日本、美国、西欧很少或没有能力增长)方面的影响。

      ■ 中东能力的增长:多少和什么时候?中东目前是很多公司投资的重点。新项目好像每月都有。尽管有许多由于各种原因被推迟,但最终会实现,这对贸易影响极大。然而,建设新装置国家的数量还在增加(图 2)。

2 中东蒸汽裂解能力增长

 

    ■ 中国:近几年聚烯烃需求增长非常强劲。至于未来几年需求增长可能是什么样子,一直是一个问题。同时也存在未来聚烯烃能力将明显增长的迹象。尽管大比例

来自国内两个生产厂家,中国石化和中国石油,外国合资公司(现有的和新的)也占有突出位置。一个主要问题是,是否这些能力增加会导致进口需求下滑,或是否中国

国内需求的强劲增长会使进口保持在高位。我们的POPS报告会提供最新供应、需求和贸易分析。

3 中国某些聚烯烃的进口

 

■ 其他地区的问题有:

      印度的作用和地位由于GDP的增长,国内需求也一直在强劲地增长。作为回应,国内许多公司宣布新的能力建设,参与者既有现有的,也有新的生产商。由于税率下降,印度将成为一个很好的出口市场,或许新建能力完全可以满足国内需求增长,甚至有适当出口?

      西欧和美国的未来:由于制成品和通用牌号进口增长,预计美国和西欧生产商在下一个低迷期面临的挑战相当困难。那么下一个低迷期美国和西欧生产商的前景如何并且需求和供应问题二者结合起来对行业开工率如何?

      东欧的前景:该地区具有大量石化原料的优势。由于需求的增长,本报告将注重考察该地区的产能发展和产生的贸易流向。

    ■ 技术开发:多数开发重点放在单活性中心/茂金属领域,但是还有其他影响本行业的技术开发,包括最近成功许可的BasellSPHERIZONE技术,以及Univation的气相单反应器双峰HMW HDPE技术。总结报告将提供对所有地区开发的单活性中心/茂金属产品详细的看法,以确定这些产品的全球需求前景。

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  2 .使用价值

        

POPS系列报告服务的对象中包括想要了解全球行业动态的企业经理、公司和企业的规划人员、行业分析师和投资人,有助于他们改进企业业绩并提高股东的回报。

2007POPS:

我们的数据库每年都更新。 其根据是现场访问、发表的统计数据和其他公知的信息。每一地区都进行现场访问,访问对象包括各种行业的参与者,涉及聚烯烃树脂生产商、加工商、终端用户、贸易公司、掺混料生产商和贸易协会。这些接触涉及商业、技术、研发和各种其他各方面的人员,从而获得全面详细而扼要的信息并理解存在的主要问题。

聚烯烃生产商:

全球和地区多数订阅POPS系列报告的聚烯烃生产商都依靠其获取市场分析和预测。在聚合物互相替代的复杂世界上,可靠的市场预测资料具有很高的使用价值,可以提供竞争优势。 

聚烯烃消费者:

塑料加工商和零部件制造商需要全面了解供应商和聚烯烃行业。POPS系列报告提供了供应和市场的全球性评估。

金融界:

金融界需要通过其在聚烯烃项目融资和聚烯烃公司证券交易中的作用了解聚合物市场。在伦敦金属交易所介绍聚合物的未来,已经使得银行作为聚烯烃论文的交易人而进入聚烯烃行业。

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3 .涉及的范围

     

   POPS系列报告将对聚乙烯和聚丙烯行业实施技术和商业分析。将就常规催化剂牌号和茂金属催化剂牌号的消费情况,对三种聚乙烯:低密度聚乙烯、线性低密度聚乙烯和高密度聚乙烯,以及聚丙烯进行分析。将介绍含共聚单体丁烯、己烯和辛烯的LLDPE生产情况。将介绍均聚、无规共聚、抗冲击共聚和茂金属牌号的聚丙烯消费情况。

   将通过把每一国家市场细分成初级用途,分析四种通用聚烯烃的消费:

 薄膜 - 食品包装、非食品包装、零售袋、垃圾袋、收缩膜包装,适于每种聚烯烃的其他薄膜。

  纤维

吹塑 液体食品瓶、非食品瓶、工业桶、汽车油箱和适于每种聚烯烃的其他吹塑制品。

 注塑 各种盖子、家用器皿、桶和容器、周转箱/大手提箱、提桶和适于每种聚烯烃的其他注塑品。

 挤出涂层 柔性包装和复合片材、纸板和适于每种聚烯烃的其他涂层材料。

 旋转成型

 其他挤出用途 电线和电缆、片材和适于每种聚烯烃的其他挤出用途。

其他用途 包括粘合剂,涂料和适于每种聚烯烃的其他用途。

将讨论每一国家和贸易地区的消费推动力。本行业是全球性的,因而从低生产成本区向高消费地区的贸易对地区平衡和价格有很大的影响。所以,本系列报告将分析以下地区的行业情况:

 北美

 南美、中美和加勒比

 西欧

 中欧

东欧

 中东

 非洲

 亚洲

   将按季度讨论本行业的发展,包括消费、产量、价格和贸易、新产能发展状况和公司新闻。

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4.报告种类和服务

   

2007年度POPS系列报告的内容是为了满足订户对信息及其分析的需求并且反映本行业的变化情况而设置的。将可以以电子和印刷两种方式得到所有报告和数据库。公司订户可以按需要的雇员数下载数据和报告。为了支持订户公司在行业中的竞争地位,2007年度POPS系列报告将及时提供商业和技术方面的专题资料和有价值的见解。包括下述报告:

 

年度总结报告

其中涉及全球和分地区聚烯烃行业运营各方面的内容(LLDPELDPEHDPE、聚丙烯和第二代技术产品(茂金属、双峰等))。本报告将提供全球的、地区的和按国家划分的供应、需求、净贸易、产量和开工率。

 

季度业务更新报告(QBUs

  本类报告将对聚烯烃行业主要进展进行总体水平的分析,报告中包括反映选定地区季度需求、贸易和定价的数据,新增产能的更新表,和重要行业事件的列表和评价(合并、收购和临时停产等)。每一期QBU还将分析各种聚烯烃行业感兴趣和有战略意义的专题(并购、重组、技术改变、原料问题等)。这类报告在每季度结束后的下一个月出版。

    2007年度POPS类报告重点提供深度报道、专题分析和评论信息。将提供三份补充报告,其中包括对可能影响聚烯烃行业的主要问题和进展的分析。2007POPS项目中三份补充报告是:

茂金属

尽管从全球茂金属和应用开始,但这一补充报告重点是西欧茂金属聚乙烯产品的市场定位。该报告注重主要应用领域,讨论市场需求上升的原因,并提供对茂金属产品市场潜在发展的深度见解。

      地区成本竞争性:

聚烯烃行业目前是一个全球性的行业,大量的产品在世界各地贸易。因此,该行业成功的关键之一是不仅在地区范围内具有低成本而且在世界范围内具有低成本。该报告将对全球主要地区聚乙烯和聚丙烯的成本状况提供详细分析。特别是,报告将详细考察原料、固定和可变成本。

拉丁美洲更新报告: 此类补充报告一年一份,深入观察一个大量生产和消费聚烯烃地区的做法,今年将考察拉丁美洲的情况。该地区过去几年中一直存在大量的M&A活动以及宣布各种新项目,而且2007年仍在持续。该报告将分析这一地区主要参与者,提供详细的供需和贸易数据并报告该地区主要应用进展。

除了印刷的报告以外,还将向订户定供含有全球数据库CD盘。数据库将包括每一主要国家的需求、供给(按地区和技术划分)、产量、净贸易和开工率,同时还有地区和全球概况。更加具体的是,数据库提供按照加工种类划分的详细需求分析(薄膜、注塑、吹塑、管材、纤维等)。其还将提供按国家/地区划分需要新增加产能的推测和所有聚烯烃第二代技术产品(单活性中心/茂金属和非茂)的预测。

还将通过讲座/咨询服务向订户提供本项目支持性服务:订户可以得到半天的本项目研究成果讲座和半天小组或研讨会形式的讨论。每一个讲座都将针对每个公司具体情况特别定制。差旅费不包括在订阅费中,需向订户按成本收取。

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 5.费用和订阅

      

   2007年度POPS系列报告的订阅费用是28,500美元。这一数额是扣除所有当地税、进口税和其它适用收费后的净价格。各订户将按照付款授权规定在收到发货票后30天内付款。可以使用本简介中提供的订阅表或通过www.chemsystems.com订阅2007 POPS报告。

   技术报告现在还有现货:

   最新出版的技术报告现在还有现货。本报告包括本行业采用的所有聚烯烃技术的深度分析。20056月出版的POPS技术评价报告现在的售价是12,000美元(原价15,000美元的折扣价),其是与2007POPS分开单独定价的。

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 6.联络信 息

         莱森特有限公司中国代理处

         蒋世新     首席代表

         北京市朝阳区安定路35号安华发展大厦1403

         电话:010 5166 6778 808

         传真:010 6445 2942

          Email: djiang@nexant.com

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附件A         目录举例:总结报告——全球经营分析

 

章节                                                                       页码

1全球概况                                                                   1-1

  1.1  简介                                                                                             1-1

   1.2  行业要点                                                                                       1-3

       1.2.1 经济概况                                                                                1-4

       1.2.2 需求                                                         1-5

         1.2.3 供应                                                                                      1-6

       !.2.4 贸易                                                        1-7

   1.3  市场动态预测方法                                                                           1-9

         1.3.1 催化剂供应和预测                                                                    1-9

         1.3.2 终端应用消费预测                                                                    1-9

1.3.3 单体消费预测                                                                          1-12

1.3.4 产量和贸易预测                                                                       1-13

附件A-全球概况                                                                                          A-1

北美                                                                                                         2-1

2.1 地区要点                                                                                          2-1

    2.1.1 地区经济                                                                                   2-1

    2.1.2 供应                                                                                         2-2

    2.1.3 消费                                                                                         2-3

    2.1.4 贸易                                                                                         2-3

2.2 加拿大                                                                                             2-4

    2.2.1 经济概况                                                                                   2-4

    2.2.2 供应和项目概况                                                                          2-5

    2.2.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                 2-5

2.3 墨西哥                                                                                             2-6

    2.3.1 经济概况                                                                                   2-6

    2.3.2 供应和项目概况                                                                          2-7

    2.3.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                 2-7

2.4 美国                                                                                                2-8

    2.4.1 经济概况                                                                                   2-8

    2.4.2 供应和项目概况                                                                          2-9

    2.4.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                 2-10

附件B-北美                                                                                               B-1

南美、中美和加勒比                                                                                    3-1

3.1 地区概况                                                                                          3-1

    3.1.1 地区经济                                                                                   3-1

    3.1.2 供应                                                                                         3-2

    3.1.3 消费                                                                                         3-3

     3.1.4 贸易                                                                                         3-4

3.2 阿根廷                                                                                             3-5

  3.2.1 经济概况                                                         3-5

    3.2.2 供应和项目概况                                                                          3-5

    3.2.3 市场概况和主要动力                                                                   3-6

3.3 巴西                                                                                                3-7

    3.3.1 经济概况                                                                                    3-7

    3.3.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           3-7

    3.3.3 市场概况和主要价值推动力                                                            3-8

3.4  委内瑞拉                                                                                          3-9

    3.4.1 经济概况                                                                                     3-9

    3.4.2 供应和项目概况                                                                            3-9

    3.4.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  3-10

3.5   其它南美洲                                                                                      3-11

    3.5.1 经济概况                                                                                    3-11

    3.5.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           3-11

    3.5.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  3-11

3.6  中美洲和加勒比                                                                                3-12

    3.6.1 经济概况                                                                                    3-12

    3.6.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           3-12

         3.6.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  3-12

附件C 南美洲                                                                                              C-1

4 西欧                                                                                                           4-1

4.1 地区经济                                                                                           4-1

4.2. 供应                                                                                                4-3

4.3 消费                                                                                                 4-5

       4.3.1 第二代技术产品                                                                          4-6

4.4 贸易                                                                                                 4-8

附件D 西欧                                                                                                 D-1

5 中欧                                                                                                          5-1

5.1 地区概况                                                                                           5-1

    5.1.1 地区经济                                                                                     5-1

    5.1.2 供应                                                                                           5-2

    5.1.3 消费                                                                                           5-4

     5.1.4 贸易                                                                                           5-7

5.2  保加利亚                                                                                          5-9

    5.2.1 经济概况                                                                                     5-9

    5.2.2 供应和项目概况                                                                            5-9

    5.2.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                   5-9

5.3 捷克共和国                                                                                        5-11

    5.3.1 经济概况                                                                                    5-11

    5.3.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           5-11

    5.3.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  5-11

5.4  前南斯拉夫                                                                                       5-13

    5.4.1 经济概况                                                                                    5-13

    5.4.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           5-13

    5.4.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  5-13

5.5   匈牙利                                                                                           5-15

    5.5.1 经济概况                                                                                    5-15

    5.5.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           5-15

    5.5.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  5-15

5.6  波兰                                                                                                5-17

    5.2.1 经济概况                                                                                    5-17

    5.2.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           5-17

    5.2.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  5-17

5.7 罗马尼亚                                                                                          5-19

    5.7.1 经济概况                                                                                    5-19

    5.7.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           5-19

    5.7.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  5-19

5.8 斯洛伐克                                                                                          5-21

    5.8.1 经济概况                                                                                    5-21

    5.8.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           5-21

    5.8.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  5-21

附件E 中欧                                                                    E-1

 

6 东欧                                                                         6-1

 

     6.1 地区概况                                                               6-1

        6.1.1 经济概况                                                           6-1

        6.1.2 供应                                                               6-1

        6.1.3 消费                                                               6-4

        6.1.4 贸易                                                               6-5

6.2 俄国                                                                                               6-6

    6.2.1 经济概况                                                                                     6-7

    6.2.2 供应和项目概况                                                                            6-8

    6.2.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                   6-9

6.3  独立国家联合体                                                                                  6-10

    6.3.1经济概况                                                                                    6-11

    6.3.2供应和项目概况                                                                           6-12

    6.3.3市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  6-13

附件F 东欧                                                                                                 F-1

7   中东                                                                                                          7-1

7.1 地区概况                                                                                            7-1

    7.1.1 地区经济                                                                                      7-1

    7.1.2 供应                                                                                            7-4

    7.1.3 消费                                                                                            7-6

     7.1.4 贸易                                                                                          7-10

7.2  伊朗                                                                                                7-11

    7.2.1 经济概况                                                                                    7-11

    7.2.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           7-11

    7.2.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  7-15

7.3 伊拉克                                                                                              7-16

    7.3.1 经济概况                                                                                    7-16

    7.3.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           7-16

    7.3.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  7-17

7.4  以色列                                                                                            7-18

    7.4.1 经济概况                                                                                    7-18

    7.4.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           7-18

    7.4.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  7-18

7.5  科威特                                                                                             7-19

    7.5.1 经济概况                                                                                    7-19

    7.5.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           7-19

    7.5.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  7-20

7.6  卡塔尔                                                                                             7-21

    7.6.1 经济概况                                                                                    7-21

    7.6.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           7-22

    7.6.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  7-23

7.7 沙特阿拉伯                                                                                       7-24

    7.7.1 经济概况                                                                                    7-24

    7.7.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           7-25

    7.7.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  7-28

7.8 土耳其                                                                                              7-29

    7.8.1 经济概况                                                                                    7-29

    7.8.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           7-29

    7.8.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  7-30

7.9 阿拉伯联合酋长国                                                                               7-31

    7.9.1 经济概况                                                                                    7-31

    7.9.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           7-31

    7.9.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  7-32

7.10  其它中东                                                                                        7-33

    7.10.1 阿曼                                                                                         7-33

    7.10.2 巴林                                                                                         7-34

    7.10.3 约旦                                                                                         7-35

    7.10.4 叙利亚                                                                                      7-36

    7.10.5 黎巴嫩                                                                                      7-37

    7.10.6 也门                                                                                         7-38

附件G 中东                                                                                                 G-1

8 非洲                                                                                                            8-1

8.1 地区概况                                                                                            8-1

    8.1.1 地区经济                                                                                      8-1

    8.1.2 供应                                                                                            8-2

    8.1.3 消费                                                                                            8-3

     8.1.4 贸易                                                                                            8-6

8.2  阿尔及利亚                                                                                        8-7

    8.2.1 经济概况                                                                                      8-7

    8.2.2 供应和项目概况                                                                             8-8

    8.2.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                    8-8

8.3 埃及                                                                                                  8-9

    8.3.1 经济概况                                                                                      8-9

    8.3.2 供应和项目概况                                                                             8-9

    8.3.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  8-10

8.4  利比亚                                                                                             8-11

    8.4.1 经济概况                                                                                    8-11

    8.4.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           8-11

    8.4.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  8-12

8.5 尼日利亚                                                                                           8-13

    8.5.1 经济概况                                                                                    8-13

    8.5.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           8-13

    8.5.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  8-14

8.6  南非共和国                                                                                      8-15

    8.6.1 经济概况                                                                                    8-16

    8.6.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           8-16

    8.6.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  8-17

8.7 其它非洲                                                                                          8-18

    8.7.1 摩洛哥                                                                                       8-18

    8.7.2 坦桑尼亚                                                                                    8-19

    8.7.3 突尼斯                                                                                       8-20

    8.7.4 乌干达                                                                                       8-21

    8.7.5 津巴布韦                                                                                    8-21

    8.7.6 苏丹                                                                                          8-23

附件H 非洲                                                                                                  H-1

9 日本                                                                                                           9-1

   9.1 经济概况                                                                                        9-1

     9.2 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                      9-2

        9.2.1 供应                                                                                         9-3

        9.2.2 消费                                                                                         9-4

        9.2.3 贸易                                                                                         9-6

附件I 日本                                                                                                   I-1

10 亚洲                                                                                                          10-1

10.1 地区概况                                                                                          10-1

    10.1.1 地区经济                                                                                    10-1

    10.1.2 供应                                                                                          10-2

    10.1.3 消费                                                                                          10-2

    10.1.4 贸易                                                                                          10-5

10.2  澳大利亚                                                                                         10-6

    10.2.1 经济概况                                                                                    10-6

    10.2.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           10-6

    10.2.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                  10-6

10.3 中国                                                                                                10-8

    10.3.1 经济概况                                                                                    10-8

    10.3.2 供应和项目概况                                                                           10-8

    10.3.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                10-13

10.4  印度                                                                                              10-17

    10.4.1 经济概况                                                                                  10-17

    10.4.2 供应和项目概况                                                                         10-17

    10.4.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                10-19

10.5  印度尼西                                                                                        10-20

    10.5.1 经济概况                                                                                  10-20

    10.5.2 供应和项目概况                                                                         10-21

    10.5.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                10-22

10.6  马来西亚                                                                                        10-23

    10.6.1 经济概况                                                                                  10-23

    10.6.2 供应和项目概况                                                                         10-24

    10.6.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                10-24

10.7 新西兰                                                                                            10-25

    10.7.1 经济概况                                                                                  10-25

    10.7.2 供应和项目概况                                                                         10-25

    10.7.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                10-25

10.8 菲律宾                                                                                            10-26

    10.8.1 经济概况                                                                                  10-26

    10.8.2 供应和项目概况                                                                         10-26

    10.8.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                10-27

10.9 新加坡                                                                                            10-28

    10.9.1 经济概况                                                                                  10-28

    10.9.2 供应和项目概况                                                                         10-28

    10.9.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                                10-29

10.10  韩国                                                                                            10-30

    10.10.1 经济概况                                                                                 10-30

    10.10.2 供应和项目概况                                                                        10-31

    10.10.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                               10-31

10.11 台湾                                                                                              10-33

    10.11.1 经济概况                                                                                 10-33

    10.11.2 供应和项目概况                                                                        10-34

    10.11.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                               10-34

10.12 泰国                                                                                             10-36

    10.12.1 经济概况                                                                                 10-36

    10.12.2 供应和项目概况                                                                        10-37

    10.12.3 市场概况和主要推动力                                                               10-37

10.13 其它亚洲                                                                                       10-38

    10.13.1 巴基斯坦                                                                                 10-39

    10.13.2 越南                                                                                       10-41

    10.13.3 孟加拉                                                                                    10-43

    10.14.4 斯里兰卡                                                                                 10-44

    10.14.5 其它亚洲                                                                                 10-45

附件 J 亚洲                                                                                           J-1

 

插图                                                                       页码

 

1.1 世界经济现状                                                            1-4

1.2 世界经济现状和展望                                                      1-4

1.3 全球聚烯烃需求                                                          1-5

1.4 聚乙烯需求增长                                                          1-6

1.5 聚丙烯需求增长                                                          1-7

1.6 聚烯烃产能增长(1998-2007                                             1-8

1.7 终端用途消费动力                                                        1-10

1.8 单体消费动力                                                            1-12

1.9 贸易问题                                                                1-13

2.1 北美GDP预测                                                            2-1

2.2 北美聚烯烃净贸易                                                        2-3

2.3 汇率                                                                    2-4

2.4 原油价格假设                                                            2-8

2.5 美国成品油价格预测                                                      2-9

2.6 聚乙烯库存变化                                                          2-11

3.1南美、中美和加勒比GDP预测                                              3-1

3.2 南美聚烯烃净贸易                                                        3-4

4.1 西欧GDP预测                                                            4-1

4.2 西欧净贸易                                                              4-8

5.1 按生产商划分聚烯烃产量-2005                                           5-3

5.2 LDPE消费                                                               5-5

5.3 LLDPE 消费                                                             5-6

5.4 HDPE 消费                                                              5-6

5.5 聚丙烯消费                                                             5-7

5.6 地区聚烯烃净贸易                                                       5-8

5.7 地区聚烯烃净贸易                                                       5-8

6.1 原油价格变化对中东主要石油出口国GDP的影响(1                        6-2

6.2 解读主要中东国家的GDP                                                 6-3

6.3 中东聚烯烃产能的增长                                                   6-4

6.4 主要中东市场LDPE消费和增长                                            6-6

6.5主要中东市场LLDPE消费和增长                                           6-7

6.6主要中东市场HDPE消费和增长                                            6-8

6.7主要中东市场聚丙烯消费和增长                                           6-9

6.8 中东聚烯烃净贸易                                                       6-10

7.1 主要非洲国家的实际GDP                                                 7-1

7.2 主要非洲市场LDPE消费和增长                                            7-3

7.3主要非洲市场LLDPE消费和增长                                            7-4

7.4主要非洲市场HDPE消费和增长                                             7-4

7.5主要非洲市场聚丙烯消费和增长                                            7-5

7.6 非洲聚烯烃净贸易                                                       7-6

8.1 日本GDP预测                                                           8-1

8.2 日本净贸易                                                             8-6

9.1 主要主要亚洲国家的GDP                                                 9-1

9.2 主要亚洲市场LDPE消费和增长                                            9-3

9.3主要主要市场LLDPE消费和增长                                           9-3

9.4主要亚洲市场HDPE消费和增长                                             9-4

9.5主要亚洲市场聚丙烯消费和增长                                            9-4

9.6 亚洲聚烯烃净贸易                                                       9-5

9.7 下脚料和回收聚合物的进口                                               9-12

9.8 进口下脚料和回收聚合物来源                                             9-13

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